The anatomy of speculative bubbles Across centuries of history, speculative financial bubbles have repeatedly emerged from the seeds of distorted financial environments, where speculative behavior increasingly produces self-reinforcing feedback. Specifically, the speculative behavior of the crowd results in rising prices that both impress and reward speculators, and in turn encourage even greater speculation. The more impressed the crowd becomes with the result of its own behavior, the more that behavior persists, and the more unstable the system becomes,
>>>>until finally the flapping wings of a butterfly become sufficient to provoke a collapse, launching a self-reinforcing feedback loop in the opposite direction.
так что именно провоцирует коллапс? перестают покупать и всё?
вот нашел в той же статье Conceptualizing the “stock of real investment” as broadly as possible, the wealth of a nation consists of its stock of real private investment (e.g. housing, capital goods, factories), real public investment (e.g. infrastructure),
а диревативы с чем все сейчас работают это уже спекуляции. както так.
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timeasmymeasure
self-reinforcing feedback loop in the opposite direction.
Date: 2017-12-29 08:32 pm (UTC)Across centuries of history, speculative financial bubbles have repeatedly emerged from the seeds of distorted financial environments, where speculative behavior increasingly produces self-reinforcing feedback. Specifically, the speculative behavior of the crowd results in rising prices that both impress and reward speculators, and in turn encourage even greater speculation. The more impressed the crowd becomes with the result of its own behavior, the more that behavior persists, and the more unstable the system becomes,
>>>>until finally the flapping wings of a butterfly become sufficient to provoke a collapse, launching a self-reinforcing feedback loop in the opposite direction.
так что именно провоцирует коллапс? перестают покупать и всё?
Re: self-reinforcing feedback loop in the opposite direction.
Date: 2017-12-29 08:42 pm (UTC)Re: что именно провоцирует коллапс?
Date: 2017-12-29 08:58 pm (UTC)Фид-бэк луп - внешнее проявление. Сама эта дрочка не результат, а побочный эффект процесса изменения настроения
Re: что именно провоцирует коллапс?
Date: 2017-12-29 09:33 pm (UTC)а вот еще цитата непонятная
they abolished the fundamental distinctions between investment and speculation.
так в чем разница между инвестированием и спекуляцией? ведь при инвестировании тоже можно потерять деньги. значит это всё одно и тоже.
Re: что именно провоцирует коллапс?
Date: 2017-12-29 09:42 pm (UTC)Re: что именно провоцирует коллапс?
Date: 2017-12-29 10:43 pm (UTC)Conceptualizing the “stock of real investment” as broadly as possible, the wealth of a nation consists of its stock of real private investment (e.g. housing, capital goods, factories), real public investment (e.g. infrastructure),
а диревативы с чем все сейчас работают это уже спекуляции. както так.